Wheat: Positioned for upbeat exports in 2018

December 7, 2017 at 10:28 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
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SOFIA. The recent buoyant exports are forecasted to slip over its upbeat trend into 2018. Prices are supported by the high sales’ turnover rate.

BULGARIA. In recent years, exports of wheat to the world have been quite strong on a yearly basis, and as a result, local farmers have become more confident to heavily invest in the cultivation of the agricultural commodity. According to local authorities, by the 30th of November 2017, estimates of sowed acreages of wheat reached 1,077,473 ha; the figure stands by 2.8% higher than planted wheat land from last year.

Wheat: no cooling off for exports

Exports have been strong since the start of the marketing year (1st July 2017), tracing an ever increasing trajectory. By the end of last month, exports to the world represented 46.39% of aggregate output from harvest 2017-18. Total output this year reached 5.9 mmt, which is the highest figure for at least a period of two decades. Forecasts are, by the end of the year, shipped quantities abroad to pass over the 3.0 mmt level.

       Harvest 2017-18

(01.07.2017 - 01.12.2017)

            units in MT

Beginning availability

179,000

Aggregate output

5,900,000

Imports

40,995

Domestic consumption

820,000

   food

417,000

   feed

208,000

   Seeds

180,000

   industrial usage

15,000

Exports to the world

2,737,201

   to EU markets

2,371,312

   to rest of the world

365,889

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

Competition within the Black sea region has always been heated, indeed when wheat is concerned, but this year’s top characteristics of the local grain – higher protein content, coupled with competitive prices, predict an export season, which is projected to keep its strong current momentum to at least the end of February 2018. The buoyant export activities and upbeat domestic demand on a weekly basis maintain prices on the upper end rather than on the receding one. A case in point, by the 3rd of December 2017, via Varna seaport, the country exported 1,329,474 mt of wheat while by that time last year, the shipped volumes abroad amounted to 20% less, according to local authorities. For now, pressure from global trends, indicating an optimistic forecast for world production of wheat, seem to exert no heavy toll on local market sentiments.

Wheat, Bulgaria

Type

EUR/kg

milling wheat

0.144

feed wheat

0.138

EXW Bulgaria

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