Sultanas: Hitting the panic button
June 1, 2017 at 11:41 AM ,
Der AUDITOR
Suppliers are planning ahead
Rainfall and hail were forecast in the growing regions. To not take any risks, some suppliers held back with contract offers for the new crop. Bigger traders are making a mixed calculation and are willing to offer a small portion (approx. 10%) of projected supplies. If necessary, they can compensate for this with higher prices later on.
However, this has still not been enough to increase offers for prompt deliveries. In any case, good availability and weak demand in the conventional sector are ensuring a stable level. In contrast, organic sultanas were not able to maintain the same level as last week and rose by about 75 USD/mt.
Sultanas, Turkey |
||
Type |
USD/mt |
EUR/mt |
Grade A, Type 8, STD |
1,245 |
1,115 |
Grade A, Type 9, STD |
1,275 |
1,142 |
Grade A, Type 10, STD |
1,425 |
1,276 |
Organic, Grade A, Type 9 |
1,850 |
1,657 |
FOB Izmir |
What traders recommend
Market players currently expect a production of 310,000-320,000 mt – without including possible crop damages due to drought or rain during the ripening or drying period.
It is worthwhile to keep an eye on the weather situation in the next few weeks. However, traders generally recommend that buyers only cover themselves until the end of October/beginning of November. The biggest rush should then be over for the time being and the prices should stabilise. In this season, the prices for Turkish sultanas fluctuated by about 11 cents (1.17-1.28 EUR/kg FOB Izmir), with a downward trend in the last few weeks due to the weaker Turkish Lira and the stronger Euro.
Sultanas export in mt |
|||
Season |
mt |
avg USD |
avg EUR |
2016/17 |
207,580 |
1,571 |
1,407 |
2015/16 |
149,667 |
2,112 |
1,891 |
Since the beginning of the season |