Sultanas: Chinese suppliers are shocked
January 25, 2017 at 12:41 PM ,
Der AUDITOR
Turkey beats all
Suppliers in China uniformly report that sales have dropped this season. They blame Turkey, where prices are as low as not seen in years. It is therefore hardly surprising that several countries have considerably increased their imports from Turkey in 2016. Sales to Germany even rose by 80% as compared to 2015. Exports to the UK, however, remained on a relatively stable level.
Sultana exports Turkey 2016/17 (in mt) |
|||
country |
2016 |
2015 |
y-on-y |
UK |
23,713 |
24,683 |
-3.93% |
Germany |
15,280 |
8,546 |
78.79% |
Netherlands |
12,864 |
9,393 |
36.95% |
Italy |
11,685 |
9,232 |
26.57% |
France |
6,305 |
5,079 |
24.13% |
Australia |
4,908 |
4,388 |
11.86% |
Belgium |
4,769 |
3,885 |
22.75% |
Poland |
4,502 |
482 |
834.55% |
Canada |
3,885 |
1,963 |
97.90% |
Spain |
3,240 |
1,858 |
74.39% |
others |
21,553 |
10,813 |
99.32% |
total |
112,703 |
80,323 |
40.31% |
source: Aegean Export Union Black Sea Export Union |
Exports have considerably increased
Turkey has so far sold more than two thirds of the 2016 production and buyers are urged to hurry in securing purchases. Almost 125,000 mt have been shipped abroad since the beginning of the season, 40% more than last year.
Sultana exports in mt |
|||
season |
mt |
avg USD |
avg EUR |
2016/17 |
124,919 |
1,600 |
1,487 |
2015/16 |
87,946 |
2,144 |
1,993 |
Since the beginning of the season |
Possible increases in price
It should, however, be noted that the Turkish prices for raw sultanas have increased to a level of 3.80-4.30 TRY/kg, which has not yet produced any effects on the export prices. The farmers want to gain as much profit as they possibly can from their remaining supplies. Since many suppliers have already closed contracts there currently is no need for buyers to worry about higher prices. The weather conditions in March and April are decisive for the further development of prices in the current season since frost could have a potentially severe impact on the crop. Market participants currently estimate a production of 250,000 mt, which may be less than last season but still satisfactory.
Sultanas, Turkey |
||
type |
USD/mt |
EUR/mt |
Grade A, Type 8, STD |
1,250 |
1,162 |
Grade A, Type 9, STD |
1,300 |
1,208 |
Grade A, Type 10, STD |
1,400 |
1,301 |
Bio, Grade A, Type 9 |
2,100 |
1,952 |
FOB Izmir |