Mustard seeds: Russia steps up shipments
October 5, 2022 at 9:00 AM ,
Der AUDITOR
Production to surge by 190%
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada has revised several estimates for 2022/2023. While estimates for the area harvested have been cut from 217,000 ha to 214,000 ha, yields are now expected to range at 0.83 mt/ha instead of 0.81 mt/ha. This would lift production to 177,000 mt, which is 190% up on last year when summer heat and drought caused yields to decline to a record low. Total supplies will range at 190,000 mt. Average prices should range at CAD 2,050/mt, which may be much lower than last year but are still high. Although harvesting has only nearly been completed, preliminary reports indicate that the situation is much better than last year. High temperatures may, however, prompt further revisions.
Mustard seeds, Canada |
2020/21 |
2021/22 |
Diff. |
2021/22 |
2022/23 |
Diff. |
Area sown (ha) |
104,000 |
117,000 |
12.5% |
117,000 |
225,000 |
92.3% |
Area harvested (ha) |
101,000 |
110,000 |
8.9% |
110,000 |
214,000 |
94.5% |
Yields (mt/ha) |
0.99 |
0.55 |
-44.4% |
0.55 |
0.83 |
50.9% |
Production (mt) |
100,000 |
61,000 |
-39.0% |
61,000 |
177,000 |
190.2% |
Imports (mt) |
6,000 |
9,000 |
50.0% |
9,000 |
7,000 |
-22.2% |
Total supplies (mt) |
191,000 |
130,000 |
-31.9% |
130,000 |
190,000 |
46.2% |
Exports (mt) |
111,000 |
106,000 |
-4.5% |
106,000 |
115,000 |
8.5% |
Consumption (mt) |
20,000 |
18,000 |
-10,0% |
18,000 |
20,000 |
11.1% |
Carry-over supplies (mt) |
61,000 |
6,000 |
-90.2% |
6,000 |
55,000 |
816.7% |
Avg. CAD/mt |
885 |
2,885 |
226.0% |
2,885 |
2,050 |
-28.9% |
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada |
Germany steps up buying in Russia
Germany stepped up buying by nearly 34% between September and July as compared with the same period in 2020/2021. Russia is the main supplier by far and was able to increase shipments by 33%. However, it should be noted that shipments from Russia to Germany took a dip in summer. While Russia shipped 3,375 mt of mustard seed to Germany in June and July 2021, this figure dropped to 995 mt in the same two months this year.
Shipments from Ukraine are only nominally up by 4% and from Canada by 64%. While shipments from Estonia and Poland declined by 11% and 16% respectively, shipments from Kazakhstan more than tripled to 840 mt. The spot market prices for brown Brassica Juncea mustard seeds with a 98% purity presently range at EUR 1.40/kg DDP Germany. Supplies are, however, limited.
Mustard seed imports, Germany, in mt |
|||
Country |
2020/21 |
2021/22 |
Diff. |
Russia |
15,600 |
20,813 |
33.4% |
Ukraine |
6,989 |
7,264 |
3.9% |
Canada |
3,018 |
4,958 |
64.3% |
Czech Republic |
752 |
1,081 |
43.8% |
Estonia |
963 |
854 |
-11.3% |
Kazakhstan |
220 |
840 |
281.8% |
Poland |
572 |
482 |
-15.7% |
Others |
485 |
1,908 |
293.4% |
Total |
28,599 |
38,200 |
33.6% |
Federal Statistical Office of Germany / Sep-Jul HS Code 12075090 Mustard seeds, whether or not broken (excl. for sowing) |
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