Mustard seeds: production estimates fall short of expectations
June 9, 2020 at 4:09 PM ,
Der AUDITOR
... 145,000 metric tonnes, production is now estimated at 140,000 metric tonnes. Although the area sown is similar in size to last year, nominally higher yields should drive up production by 3.7%. Prices are expected to range lower in the new season.
Mustard seeds, Canada |
2018/19 vs. 2019/20 |
2019/20 vs. 2020/21 |
||||
Area sown (ha) |
204,000 |
161,000 |
-21.1% |
161,000 |
160,000 |
-0.6% |
Harvested (mt) |
197,000 |
155,000 |
-21.3% |
155,000 |
155,000 |
0.0% |
Yield (mt/ha) |
0.88 |
0.87 |
-1.1% |
0.87 |
0.90 |
3.4% |
Production (mt) |
174,000 |
135,000 |
-22.4% |
135,000 |
140,000 |
3.7% |
Imports (mt) |
8,000 |
7,000 |
-12.5% |
7,000 |
8,000 |
14.3% |
Total supply (mt) |
235,000 |
214,000 |
-8.9% |
214,000 |
203,000 |
-5.1% |
Exports (mt) |
121,000 |
115,000 |
-5.0% |
115,000 |
115,000 |
0.0% |
Domestic consumption (mt) |
42,000 |
44,000 |
4.8% |
44,000 |
43,000 |
-2.3% |
Carry-over stocks (mt) |
73,000 |
55,000 |
-24.7% |
55,000 |
45,000 |
-18.2% |
Avg. price (CAD/mt) |
690 |
715 |
3.6% |
715 |
695 |
-2.8% |
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada |
Germany cuts imports
Shipments to Germany ranged below 30,000 metric tonnes in August 2019 till March 2020, which is a 14.5% decline on last year. Shipments from Russia were thereby cut by 27% to 12,261 metric tonnes and from Kazakhstan by 37% to 2,099 metric tonnes. By contrast, the shipments from Ukraine have risen by 15% to 10,169 metric tonnes.
Mustard seed imports, Germany (mt) |
|||
Country |
2018/19 |
2019/20 |
Diff. |
Russia |
16,886 |
12,261 |
-27.4% |
Ukraine |
8,860 |
10,169 |
14.8% |
Canada |
4,475 |
4,256 |
-4.9% |
Kazakhstan |
3,344 |
2,099 |
-37.2% |
Czech Republic |
436 |
228 |
-47.7% |
Others |
1,023 |
931 |
-9.0% |
Total |
35,024 |
29,944 |
-14.5% |
Federal Statistical Office of Germany / Aug-Mar |
Prices on the rise in Kazakhstan
Although prices in Kazakhstan range much lower than in the first few months of the year, a noted upward trend has been observed in recent weeks. Sinapis Alba mustard seeds with a 97% purity are currently trading at EUR 0.31 per kg EXW Kazakhstan. Brassica Nigra mustard seeds with a 98% purity are trading at EUR 0.335 per kg EXW Kazakhstan.
Mustard seeds, Kazakhstan |
|
Type |
EUR/kg |
Sinapis Alba, 97% purity |
0.310 |
Brassica Nigra, 98% purity |
0.335 |
EXW North Kazakhstan |