Expected rain could interrupt the upcoming harvest
June 16, 2017 at 7:02 PM ,
Starry Night Ltd.
In almost all regions of the country, barley is closing through its final stage of maturity. Usually, in about a week time, farmers should start harvesting the crop, but the recent weather forecast of continuous rains could actually lengthen the time and bring some surprises.
Factors influencing planting strategies
SOFIA. Exports have been weak so far in the season. According to the Agricultural Ministry, by the 9th of June 2017, exports stood at 373,796 mt. Most probably, exports for the season will not break the 400,000 mt barrier before the start of the new harvest. Last year’s exports were close to 550,000 mt.
The average monthly purchasing price in July 2016 was estimated at 0.124 EUR/kg EXW Bulgaria. A year earlier, it stood at 0.139 EUR/kg EXW Bulgaria. Since the beginning of harvest 2016-17 till the end of 2016, average monthly purchasing prices moved within the range of 0.124 EUR/kg to 0.129 EUR/kg EXW Bulgaria. Farmers chose to change their cultivation strategies to investing in crops that are more profitable, such as rapeseed.
Barley, as it currently stands
Harvest 2016-17 (01.07.2016 - 09.06.2017) |
|
Carry over |
4,900 mt |
Domestic output |
697,787 mt |
Domestic consumption |
305,400 mt |
Exports to the world |
373,796 mt |
Average yield |
3.9 mt/ha |
Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture
Since the beginning of 2017, the market experienced a change in price direction. Prices have been following an upward trajectory, with average purchasing prices of this week reaching 0.141 EUR/kg EXW Bulgaria.
Local demand is too weak to deplete remaining stock (39,000 mt) before the end of harvest 2016-17.
Barley, Bulgaria |
|
Type |
EUR/kg |
feed barley |
0.141 |
EXW Bulgaria |