Corn: Projections are for at least a 20% higher output this year
October 27, 2017 at 9:16 AM ,
Starry Night Ltd.
BULGARIA. Although corn is the last grain to be harvested in the family of the other local crops for the season, fearing a persistent bearish trend later in the marketing year, a substantial number of farmers already sold out.
According to the Ministry of Agriculture, by the 19th of October 2017, harvested corn fields reached 88% of 418,224 ha total availability for the year. Estimated output stands at 2,138,065 mt, which is about 4% lower than last year’s total production. Projections are for aggregate output from the current harvest to be between 2,5 mmt – 2,7 mmt.
Corn: A higher yield raises production levels this year
A higher average yield will be at the center for the expected substantial increase in realized quantities during harvest 2017-18. According to local authorities, average yield stands at 5,8 mt/ha, which is 9.2% higher than that of last year.
Harvest 2017-18 (01.09.2017 - 20.10.2017) |
|
Beg.availability, incl. carry over & imports |
2,718,065 mt |
Domestic consumption |
180,000 mt |
Exports to the world |
445,738 mt |
to EU markets |
357,864 mt |
to rest of the world |
87,874 mt |
Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture
In the realm of prices
Ukraine is still in the midst of harvest, with an expected output of 27 mmt or lower by 1 mmt on a year-to-year basis, according to the recent USDA report of World Agricultural Production; while Turkey’s output is projected to reach 6,0 mmt or 0,5 mmt more than the country realized last year. Anyhow, huge swings in the producers of corn within the Black sea basin are not expected and although Bulgarian corn is usually traded at higher levels, there is no market indication right now that prices will find support any time soon.
Corn, Bulgaria |
|
Crop |
EUR/kg |
Corn |
0.135 |
EXW Bulgaria |