Corn: Projections are for at least a 20% higher output this year

October 27, 2017 at 9:16 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
Play report as audio

SOFIA. The higher yield raises output. Exports slowed down while prices are far away from finding support.

BULGARIA. Although corn is the last grain to be harvested in the family of the other local crops for the season, fearing a persistent bearish trend later in the marketing year, a substantial number of farmers already sold out.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture, by the 19th of October 2017, harvested corn fields reached 88% of 418,224 ha total availability for the year. Estimated output stands at 2,138,065 mt, which is about 4% lower than last year’s total production. Projections are for aggregate output from the current harvest to be between 2,5 mmt – 2,7 mmt.

Corn: A higher yield raises production levels this year

A higher average yield will be at the center for the expected substantial increase in realized quantities during harvest 2017-18. According to local authorities, average yield stands at 5,8 mt/ha, which is 9.2% higher than that of last year.

Harvest 2017-18

(01.09.2017 - 20.10.2017)

Beg.availability, incl. carry over & imports

2,718,065  mt

Domestic consumption

180,000 mt

Exports to the world

445,738 mt

   to EU markets

357,864 mt

   to rest of the world

87,874 mt

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

In the realm of prices

Ukraine is still in the midst of harvest, with an expected output of 27 mmt or lower by 1 mmt on a year-to-year basis, according to the recent USDA report of World Agricultural Production; while Turkey’s output is projected to reach 6,0 mmt or 0,5 mmt more than the country realized last year. Anyhow, huge swings in the producers of corn within the Black sea basin are not expected and although Bulgarian corn is usually traded at higher levels, there is no market indication right now that prices will find support any time soon.

Corn, Bulgaria

Crop

EUR/kg

Corn

0.135

EXW Bulgaria

 

 

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Organic Commodities
Nov 12, 2024
ASUNCIÓN. As yields dropped to shockingly low levels for chia seeds in South America, the new season started off with a shock for the market. Silver lining is that things may change in December.
Grains
Oct 31, 2024
DALIAN/KYIV. Smaller acreages are causing a significant drop in production in Ukraine. Meanwhile, the EU was able to increase its total imports by 12% thanks to increased shipments from Kazakhstan.
Grains
Oct 30, 2024
DALIAN/KYIV. The new crop is causing prices to fall in China. In Ukraine, the average yield per hectare of the 2024 millet crop has fallen by 18% compared to last year.
Grains
Oct 17, 2024
LIMA. Favourable weather conditions and larger acreages led to an increase in quinoa production in Peru this year. In some regions, the crop was 85-90% larger than last year.