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Corn: EU import duties coming to the rescue

August 11, 2017 at 7:20 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
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A few weeks before harvest, exports will need much more than lower prices to boost. Will the recent EU import duties on corn to third countries turn the wind in favor of local farmers for the upcoming season?

Corn: above average temperatures have embraced the country

SOFIA. Continuous droughts, as was the case last year, are not forecasted since occasional showers are expected to fall throughout the country; the closest ones are forecasted to fall this weekend. Such sporadic showers would alleviate the impact of the recent above than average temperatures, but one thing is sure - the necessary water reserves need to be maintained in the soil so that the maximum yield potential is realized. Some farmers are already thinking of implementing large scale irrigation projects for the next season. The more corn is watered, the higher the yield.

An encouraging light on the horizon

The forecasted output from the upcoming harvest is set to be at least 20% higher than that of the previous one, which reached 2,226,094 mt. Yet, for exports’ turnover to get higher, local prices should get more competitive in regard to those of other export-oriented countries in the Black sea region or a trade regulation should come to the rescue.

The recently imposed EU import duties on corn of 5.16 EUR/mt to third countries would provide the so much necessary recourse to local farmers, who have to compete with their non-EU counterparts in the Black sea basin for the EU market. According to the European Commission, the rationale behind levying the import duties to protect the interests of EU producers follows from the abundant availability of corn, coupled with high carry-over, and low market prices. According to the recent USDA report on World Agricultural Production, world output 2017-18 is forecasted to reach 1,033.47 mmt, which is only 3.46% lower than that of season 2016-17.  

Corn, Bulgaria

Crop

EUR/kg

corn

0.147

EXW Bulgaria

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