Bulgarian barley: remaining quantities too small for exports

March 22, 2017 at 9:18 AM , Starry Night Ltd.
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Meager quantities left support a higher nominal price. Trade happens only on the domestic market.

 Traded at a nominal price

SOFIA. Today, barley opened the market at 0,148 EUR/kg CPT domestic port. For the past few weeks, the crop has been mainly traded on the domestic market because remaining quantities are too small to export. According to the Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture, by the 17.03.2017, reserves stood at 133,286mt.

The table below provides a view of the main parameters of barley harvest 2016-17. In comparison with the previous year, when output stood at 698,000mt, this year’s harvest was stronger, while the average yield of harvest 2016-17 was higher than that of season 2015-16, which reached 3,970kg/ha.

Harvest 2016-17

(beginning of harvest till 17.03.2017)

Carry over

4,900mt

Domestic output

727,155mt

Domestic consumption

239,400mt

Exports to the world

373,796mt

Yield (kg/ha), an estimate

4,400kg

Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture

However, since the beginning of harvest 2016-17 till 12.03.2017, via Varna seaport have been exported only 17,379mt of wheat, which is about 86,2% lower than exports from harvest 2015-16 via the same trade route. Exports go to Greece, Spain, Egypt and Libya among other countries.

Black sea competition

After the middle of June 2016, the price of barley fluctuated between 0,123EUR/kg and 0,130EUR/kg CPT domestic port while a steady upward trend kicked in the middle of October the same year. Competition in the Black sea region matters, which influences local prices because of the big regional players – Russia and Ukraine.  Currently, feed barley from Ukraine is traded for 168USD/kg FOB. However, because remaining quantities are short, since the middle of January 2017, local prices have been kept on the high end.

Barley, Bulgaria

Type

EUR/kg

feed barley

0,148

CPT domestic port

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