Barley: Tiresome sentiments over foreign markets
October 6, 2017 at 8:50 AM ,
Starry Night Ltd.
BULGARIA. Sowing activities continue after the recent agro-meteorological conditions have been quite favorable for planting grains.
Barley: Withholding the grain from the market to no avail in the short-term
Barley trade on the domestic market has kept a stable rate of a few metric tons per week. Competitive prices of feed wheat add to the pressure, but the dynamics of the foreign wheat markets are still weak so far in the season to push up the local price of barley.
A mass buyout on the market will raise the price, but who will dare do it right now when foreign and local buyers took advantage of such a buyout early in the beginning of harvest when sales were executed at low prices?
Medium-term predictions are for slow export turnover rate, as the domestic market is expected to consume a substantial part of the locally produced output this year. Last year, tough regional competition directed consumption of barley towards the local market. Prospects might well repeat during this season
Exports have frozen
At the beginning of the marketing season, exports skyrocketed since already signed contracts had to be executed. However, by the end of September 2017, the country exported 200,539 mt while by that time last year, shipped volumes abroad reached 307,123 mt, according to the Ministry of Agriculture.
Harvest 2017-18 (01.07.2017 - 29.09.2017) |
|
Carry over |
22,000 mt |
Domestic output |
619,812 mt |
Domestic consumption |
78,000 mt |
Exports to the world |
200,539 mt |
Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture