Barley: higher than expected exports will quickly deplete stocks
August 14, 2017 at 2:03 PM ,
Starry Night Ltd.
Barley: will the lower aggregate output quench foreign demand?
SOFIA. By the end of the year, selling market players could well be caught unprepared to satisfy the growing foreign demand. So far in the marketing season, exports are higher than expected on a yearly basis. The reason is that during planting, farmers significantly reduced sowed acreages, by as much as 20%, because in the past usually the crop was priced lower than other locally grown crops and foreign demand last year was quite low. Yet, so far in the marketing season, exports have been strong, although prices are subdued; yet, still higher by a few euro on a yearly basis while remaining competitive in the Black sea basin. In the short-term, prices are expected to remain flat to support the strong export activity.
A steep export activity supported by competitive prices
The adverse weather conditions, damaging the crop’s outputs in the countries of West Europe, are the reasons for the steep export activity so early in the season.
Harvest 2017-18 (01.07.2017 - 04.08.2017) |
|
Carry over |
22,000 mt |
Domestic output |
630,015 mt |
Domestic consumption |
30,000 mt |
Exports to the world |
153,866 mt |
Source: Bulgarian Ministry of Agriculture
According to the Ministry of Agriculture, only via Varna seaport, close to 77,884 mt were shipped abroad from the start of the marketing season till the 6th of August. By that time last year, no foreign shipments were recorded. In total, by the end of the first week of the month, 153,866 mt were exported to foreign markets, as close to all went to EU member countries.
Barley, Bulgaria |
|
Type |
EUR/kg |
feed barley |
0.131 |
EXW Bulgaria |