Free of charge

Almonds: Will prices continue to fall?

November 14, 2016 at 10:19 AM , Der AUDITOR
Play report as audio

SACRAMENTO. A successful season lies ahead of Californian almond suppliers. How do buyers profit from it?

So far, the US almond production 2016 registered about 707,000 mt of almonds, the total crop is estimated at 930,000-975,000 mt. Many cultivation areas show an increase in production of 5-20%.

Exports increase by 45%
106,594 mt of almonds were shipped out in October, which makes an increase of 45% compared to the same time last year (73,935 mt). Combined with the already shipped out quantities, approximately 60% of the marketable merchandise is supposed to be bound in contracts. Among other things, shipments to China are responsible for the good export figures since China has already covered itself in anticipation of the New Year’s festivities at the end of January. India, as well as the Middle East, have proven to be thankful consumers.

How much rain is a blessing?
Prices for US almonds have decreased again since last week in spite of the good export figures. As a rule, the consumer’s buying interest levels off after the Christmas holidays. Aside from the demand, the development of the coming weeks is also strongly dependent on the weather. Traders and farmers had no reason to complain of too little rain, so far. October 2016 had the fourth highest precipitation rate since the beginning of recording. A hike in prices cannot be ruled out, though, should it become drier again.

US almond prices

type

EUR/kg

California, SSR, STD, blanched

6.25

blanched, sliced, 0.7-0.9 mm

6.55

blanched, diced, 2-4 mm

6.30

blanched, slivered

6.40

almond meal, blanched, 0-2 mm

6.15

EXW Spain

Attached Files

File icon
almonds, blanched, diced, 2-4 mm, 10.9-4.6
File icon
almonds, natural, 27-30, Calif. SSR, 10.6-4.5

View related articles

Go to the News Overview
Nuts
Oct 22, 2025
MANILA. Despite ongoing shortages and strong demand, prices on the market for Philippine desiccated coconuts remain largely stable. The damage caused by this year's typhoons is noticeable, but the supply chain remains intact.
Nuts
Oct 22, 2025
CANBERRA/SACRAMENTO. Australia's almond exports set a new monthly record in August. China continues to show great interest in shipments from Australia. Californian almond farmers criticise official forecasting methods.
Nuts
Oct 22, 2025
CAPE TOWN/BEIJING. This year's macadamia crop in the main producing countries is smaller than hoped for, and there are also concerns about quality. China plans to import macadamias from Myanmar. EU imports are significantly higher than last year.
Nuts
Oct 20, 2025
NEW DELHI. While the outlook for the peanut oil market is quite encouraging, the situation is different for peanuts. Indonesia has still not lifted its import ban on Indian peanuts, but a solution is being sought.